6 Aug · 10:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AW
🇨🇿Adrian Walek
ELO 1530
FormWLLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Walek
DM
🇨🇿Dalimil Machander
ELO 1528
FormLLWLL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Machander🌟Walek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (66)
Fair odds · Walek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H17-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.