6 Aug · 10:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DT
🇨🇿Daniel Tyn
ELO 1428
FormWWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Tyn
MK
🇨🇿Michal Kaspar
ELO 1413
FormLLLWW
51%
49%
🌟Kaspar stays under total as underdog 86% (14)
Fair odds · Tyn
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+15
H2H5-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.