6 Aug · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kysely
ELO 1567
FormLLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kysely
TP
🇨🇿Tomas Petrek
ELO 1564
FormLWWWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Kysely
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H1-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.