6 Aug · 10:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MT
🇨🇿Mihail Trinta
ELO 1489
FormLWLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Vesely
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vesely
ELO 1552
FormLWLWL
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Trinta🌟Vesely rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (20)
Fair odds · Vesely
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+63
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.