6 Aug · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JG
🇨🇿Jiri Grohsgott
ELO 1410
FormWWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Grohsgott
ZD
🇨🇿Zbynek Drabek
ELO 1400
FormLLLLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Grohsgott
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 38% · 2.66· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+10
H2H1-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.