6 Aug · 10:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DP
🇨🇿Dmitro Parhomenko
ELO 1510
FormLLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Vedmoch
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vedmoch
ELO 1610
FormWWWWL
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Parhomenko
Fair odds · Vedmoch
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+100
H2H55-57
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+100)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)