6 Aug · 09:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MT
🇨🇿Mihail Trinta
ELO 1489
FormLWLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Vedmoch
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vedmoch
ELO 1610
FormWWWWL
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Trinta🌟Trinta covers set handicap as underdog 64% (117)
Fair odds · Vedmoch
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+121
H2H8-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+121)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)