6 Aug · 09:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LM
🇨🇿Ludek Madle
ELO 1390
FormWLWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Drabek
ZD
🇨🇿Zbynek Drabek
ELO 1400
FormLLLLL
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Madle🌟Drabek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 17% (12)
Fair odds · Drabek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+10
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.