6 Aug · 08:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vedmoch
ELO 1610
FormWWWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Vedmoch
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vesely
ELO 1552
FormLWLWL
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vesely🌟Vesely covers set handicap as underdog 83% (12)
Fair odds · Vedmoch
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+58
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.