6 Aug · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vesely
ELO 1552
FormLWLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Vesely
DP
🇨🇿Dmitro Parhomenko
ELO 1502
FormLLLLW
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Parhomenko🌟Vesely rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (20)
Fair odds · Vesely
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H4-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.