6 Aug · 08:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DP
🇨🇿Dmitro Parhomenko
ELO 1502
FormLLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Parhomenko
MT
🇨🇿Mihail Trinta
ELO 1489
FormLWLLW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Trinta🌟Trinta covers set handicap as underdog 64% (117)
Fair odds · Parhomenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+13
H2H11-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.