7 Aug · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sychra
ELO 1561
FormLLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Klement
MK
🇨🇿Milan Klement
ELO 1638
FormWLWLW
46%
54%
🌟Sychra covers set handicap as underdog 64% (187)
Fair odds · Klement
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+77
H2H23-25
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.