7 Aug · 08:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PS
🇨🇿Petr Saleny
ELO 1621
FormWLWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Saleny
JS
🇨🇿Jan Simecek
ELO 1570
FormWWLWL
53%
47%
🌟Simecek covers set handicap as underdog 62% (82)
Fair odds · Saleny
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 32% · 3.17· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+51
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.