7 Aug · 14:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jakub Stolfa
ELO 1528
FormLLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Just
FJ
🇨🇿Frantisek Just
ELO 1572
FormWWWLL
48%
52%
🌟Stolfa covers set handicap as underdog 62% (40)
Fair odds · Just
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 68% · 1.47· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+44
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.