8 Aug · 12:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JJ
🇨🇿Jan Mecl Jr
ELO 1726
FormWWWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Jr
RU
🇨🇿Radim Urbaniec
ELO 1562
FormLWWWL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Jr
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+164
H2H11-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+164)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-6)