8 Aug · 08:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LJ
🇨🇿Lukas Jindrak
ELO 1737
FormLWLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Jindrak
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kanera
ELO 1578
FormLLWWW
58%
42%
🌟Kanera covers set handicap as underdog 67% (45)
Fair odds · Jindrak
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+159
H2H28-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+159)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (28-9)