8 Aug · 08:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JD
🇨🇿Julius Didi
ELO 1495
FormLWLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Didi
MT
🇨🇿Mihail Trinta
ELO 1493
FormLWWLL
50%
50%
🌟Trinta covers set handicap as underdog 65% (124)
Fair odds · Didi
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 29% · 3.41· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H0-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.