8 Aug · 09:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SB
🇨🇿Samuel Byrtus
ELO 1513
FormLLWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Rychlik
ER
🇨🇿Evzen Rychlik
ELO 1515
FormLWLLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Rychlik
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.