8 Aug · 08:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DP
🇨🇿Daniel Priesol
ELO 1478
FormWLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Priesol
AV
🇨🇿Alexandr Virag
ELO 1441
FormLLWLW
52%
48%
🌟Virag rarely covers set handicap as underdog 29% (21)
Fair odds · Priesol
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 36% · 2.81· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H3-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.