7 Aug · 20:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
IT
🇨🇿Ivo Taichman
ELO 1505
FormWLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Taichman
DM
🇨🇿David Mikula
ELO 1453
FormWLWLL
53%
47%
🌟Taichman rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (95)
Fair odds · Taichman
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+52
H2H10-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.