7 Aug · 21:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RA
🇨🇿Radim Adam
ELO 1492
FormLWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Taichman
IT
🇨🇿Ivo Taichman
ELO 1505
FormWLLLL
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Adam🌟Adam covers set handicap as underdog 71% (24)
Fair odds · Taichman
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+13
H2H7-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.