8 Aug · 04:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MK
🇨🇿Milan Kolar
ELO 1568
FormWWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Darin
KD
🇨🇿Kyryl Darin
ELO 1580
FormWWWWL
49%
51%
🌟Kolar covers set handicap as underdog 71% (117)
Fair odds · Darin
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 47% · 2.11· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+12
H2H2-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.