9 Aug · 08:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PB
🇨🇿Petr Banot
ELO 1433
FormWLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Banot
RA
🇨🇿Radek Adamczyk
ELO 1418
FormLLLLL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Adamczyk🌟Banot rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (14)
Fair odds · Banot
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+15
H2H1-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.