9 Aug · 17:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JG
🇨🇿Jiri Grohsgott
ELO 1383
FormWLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Grohsgott
MR
🇨🇿Milan Regner
ELO 1360
FormLLWWL
51%
49%
🌟Grohsgott stays under total as favourite 62% (130)
Fair odds · Grohsgott
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 31% · 3.20· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H2-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.