9 Aug · 18:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MR
🇨🇿Milan Regner
ELO 1360
FormLLWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Berdych
PB
🇨🇿Pavel Berdych
ELO 1455
FormWWWWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Berdych
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 31% · 3.20· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+95
H2H1-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+95)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)