9 Aug · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DS
🇨🇿David Sidletskyi
ELO 1505
FormW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Zuzanek
JZ
🇨🇿Jiri Zuzanek
ELO 1546
FormWWWWL
48%
52%
🌟Zuzanek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (143)
Fair odds · Zuzanek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 52% · 1.93· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+41
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.