10 Aug · 10:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MR
🇨🇿Milan Regner
ELO 1357
FormLWLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Sulava
LS
🇨🇿Lubor Sulava
ELO 1424
FormLWWLL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Sulava
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+67
H2H33-32
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.