10 Aug · 09:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SK
🇨🇿Sebastian Kasnik
ELO 1518
FormLWWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Sebera
PS
🇨🇿Petr Sebera
ELO 1631
FormWLWLL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Sebera
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+113
H2H24-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+113)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (24-22)