10 Aug · 10:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DH
🇨🇿Denis Hofman
ELO 1551
FormLLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Hofman
SK
🇨🇿Sebastian Kasnik
ELO 1518
FormLWWWL
52%
48%
🌟Hofman rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (81)
Fair odds · Hofman
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+33
H2H10-18
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.