10 Aug · 08:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RW
🇨🇿Richard Wagner
ELO 1623
FormLWLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Wagner
SK
🇨🇿Sebastian Kasnik
ELO 1518
FormLWWWL
55%
45%
🌟Wagner stays under total as favourite 63% (49)
Fair odds · Wagner
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+105
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+105)