10 Aug · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VK
🇨🇿Vladimir Kubat
ELO 1300
FormWLWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Potmesil
PP
🇨🇿Pavel Potmesil
ELO 1379
FormLLWWL
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kubat🌟Potmesil rarely covers set handicap as favourite 21% (14)
Fair odds · Potmesil
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+79
H2H1-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.