10 Aug · 10:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
J1
🇨🇿Jaroslav Strnad 1961
ELO 1193
FormLWLLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Potmesil
PP
🇨🇿Pavel Potmesil
ELO 1379
FormLLWWL
40%
60%
🌟Potmesil rarely covers set handicap as favourite 21% (14)
Fair odds · Potmesil
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~73 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+186
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+186)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)