10 Aug · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AH
🇨🇿Alexander Hejduk
ELO 1257
FormLLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Hejduk
J1
🇨🇿Jaroslav Strnad 1961
ELO 1193
FormLWLLL
53%
47%
🌟Hejduk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (27)
Fair odds · Hejduk
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~73 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+64
H2H2-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.