10 Aug · 10:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VK
🇨🇿Vladimir Kubat
ELO 1300
FormWLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kubat
AH
🇨🇿Alexander Hejduk
ELO 1257
FormLLLLL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Kubat
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 25% · 3.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+43
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.