10 Aug · 08:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
J1
🇨🇿Jaroslav Strnad 1961
ELO 1193
FormLWLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Kubat
VK
🇨🇿Vladimir Kubat
ELO 1300
FormWLWLW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Kubat
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~73 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+107
H2H47-61
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+107)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)