10 Aug · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DV
🇨🇿David Vavrecka
ELO 1389
FormLLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Adamczyk
RA
🇨🇿Radek Adamczyk
ELO 1415
FormLWWLL
49%
51%
🌟Adamczyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (23)
Fair odds · Adamczyk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+26
H2H1-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.