10 Aug · 10:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ZL
🇨🇿Zdenek Luksa
ELO 1422
FormWLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Luksa
JT
🇨🇿Josef Toth
ELO 1376
FormLLWLL
52%
48%
🌟Toth covers set handicap as underdog 69% (29)
Fair odds · Luksa
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H7-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.