10 Aug · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LS
🇨🇿Lubor Sulava
ELO 1424
FormLWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sulava
JP
🇨🇿Jan Pleskot
ELO 1392
FormLLLWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Sulava
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 47% · 2.12· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+32
H2H124-105
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.