11 Aug · 01:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JP
🇨🇿Jan Pleskot
ELO 1402
FormWLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sulava
LS
🇨🇿Lubor Sulava
ELO 1437
FormWWLWW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Sulava
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.19· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+35
H2H125-105
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.