11 Aug · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jiri Svec
ELO 1346
FormWLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Grohsgott
JG
🇨🇿Jiri Grohsgott
ELO 1383
FormWLWWW
48%
52%
🌟Grohsgott stays under total as favourite 62% (130)
Fair odds · Grohsgott
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H85-48
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.