11 Aug · 10:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SB
🇨🇿Samuel Byrtus
ELO 1501
FormWLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Byrtus
JP
🇨🇿Jiri Plachy
ELO 1486
FormLLWLL
51%
49%
🌟Byrtus rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (82)
Fair odds · Byrtus
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+15
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.