11 Aug · 13:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PS
🇨🇿Petr Serak
ELO 1277
FormLLWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Petr
PP
🇨🇿Pavel Petr
ELO 1422
FormWWLWL
42%
58%
🌟Petr rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (20)
Fair odds · Petr
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+145
H2H6-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+145)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-3)