11 Aug · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇨🇿Jakub Stolfa
ELO 1543
FormWWLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Stolfa
AW
🇨🇿Adrian Walek
ELO 1538
FormLWLWW
50%
50%
🌟Walek goes over total as underdog 67% (79)
Fair odds · Stolfa
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.