11 Aug · 16:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sychra
ELO 1572
FormLWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Tazler
JT
🇨🇿Jakub Tazler
ELO 1609
FormWWLWL
48%
52%
🌟Sychra covers set handicap as underdog 65% (199)
Fair odds · Tazler
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.15· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H25-29
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.