11 Aug · 09:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AV
🇨🇿Alexandr Virag
ELO 1442
FormWLLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Virag
ML
🇨🇿Matej Levicky
ELO 1433
FormWLWWW
50%
50%
🌟Virag rarely covers set handicap as favourite 28% (43)
Fair odds · Virag
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+9
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.