11 Aug · 14:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DH
🇨🇿David Heczko
ELO 1518
FormLWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Heczko
JP
🇨🇿Jiri Plachy
ELO 1486
FormLLWLL
52%
48%
🌟Heczko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (82)
Fair odds · Heczko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 57% · 1.74· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+32
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.