11 Aug · 13:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DH
🇨🇿Denis Hofman
ELO 1587
FormWLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Tazler
JT
🇨🇿Jakub Tazler
ELO 1609
FormWWLWL
49%
51%
🌟Hofman covers set handicap as underdog 65% (162)
Fair odds · Tazler
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+22
H2H6-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.