11 Aug · 14:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PS
🇨🇿Petr Serak
ELO 1277
FormLLWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Serak
JS
🇨🇿Jiri Stary
ELO 1275
FormLWLWW
50%
50%
🌟Serak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (17)
Fair odds · Serak
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 59% · 1.71· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H4-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.