11 Aug · 13:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sychra
ELO 1572
FormLWLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Sebera
PS
🇨🇿Petr Sebera
ELO 1645
FormLWWLW
46%
54%
🌟Sychra covers set handicap as underdog 65% (199)
Fair odds · Sebera
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+73
H2H60-63
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.