12 Aug · 08:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MT
🇨🇿Mihail Trinta
ELO 1507
FormLWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kulhanek
PK
🇨🇿Pavel Kulhanek
ELO 1521
FormWWWWW
49%
51%
🌟Trinta covers set handicap as underdog 65% (129)
Fair odds · Kulhanek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+14
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.